Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 4.679011 5.596056 6.616336 7.831454 9.234786 10.800051 12.673345
2025-02-16 3.229916 4.365414 5.761550 7.587363 9.893055 12.687446 16.307299
2025-02-23 2.307270 3.473209 5.036445 7.248545 10.254637 14.148342 19.514973
2025-03-02 1.694586 2.814080 4.436275 6.896021 10.455370 15.330249 22.401681
2025-03-09 1.352082 2.449446 4.151217 6.888810 11.064735 17.053576 26.109697
2025-03-16 1.105438 2.171349 3.930506 6.915239 11.685904 18.808311 29.971707
2025-03-23 0.908604 1.928620 3.714190 6.897734 12.208859 20.431911 33.740762
2025-03-30 0.713288 1.641151 3.366645 6.601028 12.231960 21.267571 36.355431
2025-04-06 0.597383 1.478376 3.207563 6.594690 12.713580 22.837851 40.197974
2025-04-13 0.498368 1.326051 3.039089 6.540723 13.094193 24.256938 43.880539
2025-04-20 0.456880 1.290313 3.091269 6.900807 14.233627 27.012581 49.919013
2025-04-27 0.409012 1.228217 3.077949 7.127942 15.145159 29.436481 55.549163
2025-05-04 0.372238 1.187349 3.108298 7.456222 16.296376 32.395721 62.346795
2025-05-11 0.316061 1.081812 2.977861 7.435190 16.775731 34.199727 67.272585
2025-05-18 0.255285 0.945537 2.750543 7.172849 16.746864 35.070763 70.601281
2025-05-25 0.202643 0.815541 2.511652 6.846576 16.545774 35.593094 73.318559
2025-06-01 0.173562 0.749671 2.421631 6.847238 17.020653 37.421965 78.528644
2025-06-08 0.149951 0.694223 2.348320 6.876195 17.555322 39.397734 84.122093
2025-06-15 0.128311 0.638105 2.261890 6.859678 17.985028 41.189665 89.463122
2025-06-22 0.102172 0.554178 2.077023 6.564685 17.753736 41.627278 92.210168
2025-06-29 0.087688 0.511423 2.006624 6.558477 18.185120 43.447625 97.759921
2025-07-06 0.074313 0.467622 1.923375 6.504801 18.496782 45.034230 102.926888
2025-07-13 0.070694 0.467881 1.984840 6.863193 19.835825 48.882965 112.845854